FightIQ originals — data-driven previews, recaps, features, and explainers we wrote in-house, linked to the same model that powers our predictions. Aggregated headlines — the rest of the MMA web with full source credit + link-outs.
The No. 3 bantamweight called Song a "punching bag." On the same January card we modeled Song's O'Malley loss as a near coin flip.
The Predator says a Rico Verhoeven crossover is "what I have in mind for right now." The UFC superfight everyone wants is still a fan poll with no contract behind it.
The former middleweight champ opens around -340 over a welterweight legend moving up. The odds gap is the story; our model hasn't priced this one.
The UFC sold Freedom 250 as a viewership event. A week on, the figures depend on which figure you pick, and the one White says matters most is not out yet.
We finished grading every 2026 card with a prediction: 67.4% across 187 calls, hits and misses. Plus Baku week, the McGregor-Holloway build, and the White House fallout.
An Azerbaijani lightweight tops UFC Fight Night 280, but our model and the recent records both lean toward the younger finisher across the cage.
Bisping and Pimblett both point to one number on Conor McGregor's side. We'd point to the five years no one can model.
Retire Gaethje, push McGregor into the "hell zone," defend Zahabi's plan. Different fighters, one throughline from a man who walked away on top.
Justin Gaethje turned down Arman Tsarukyan's $5.7 million-funded gift and floated a different ask: an ownership stake in the UFC. One is a feud. The other is a fighter-pay argument the sport keeps circling back to.
Eight days after a contested heavyweight title loss, Alex Pereira has openly questioned whether he wants to keep fighting. Joe Rogan, weighing in on the disputed blows, landed somewhere in the middle: a couple were illeg…
Our data sweep for the sport's biggest return arcs surfaced one gap that dwarfs the rest: 3,290 days between Octagon appearances.
A prospect-heavy card with a flyweight headliner that pits the division's hottest finisher against its best return story.
Manel Kape is finishing everyone in front of him. Kyoji Horiguchi is two wins into a return nine years in the making.
Navajo Stirling is 4-0 in the UFC; Ion Cutelaba has seen everything the light heavyweight division can throw at him.
Both men need a result — and a common opponent hangs over the matchup.
Vinicius Oliveira built a strong run before a recent stumble; Andre Fili is the 26-fight veteran who tests everyone.
Melsik Baghdasaryan looks to recover from a brutal knockout; his opponent arrives with no UFC tape.
Kape erased a 2017 loss to Kyoji Horiguchi with a third-round knockout at UFC Vegas 119, then asked for Joshua Van. Our model went 9 of 12 on the night, but its one LOCK lost.
After six months of leaks and a cryptic Instagram jab, the UFC made it official Saturday night: Dricus du Plessis returns against a former welterweight king moving up to chase a second belt.
An AI ranking system debuts Monday alongside the media panel. As a data-led desk, we know the parts that will work and the parts that won't.
A week after Ciryl Gane stopped Alex Pereira for the interim heavyweight title, the fight has become an officiating story. Dana White says Pereira is no whiner. MMA Fighting is asking whether Gane is the sport's dirtiest…
A reported $100 million ask kept Trevor Wittman's gloves out of the cage, while Dana White called Tom Aspinall's deal with a boxing promoter "insane." Both fights run on the same question: who captures the value in a UFC…
The model went 7 for 7 on finishes and called a coin-flip headliner right. It also burned its single biggest pick of the night for the second card running. Here is the full grade, misses included.
The new lightweight champion says he doesn't want a Topuria rematch. A revenge fight, a megastar and a snubbed No. 1 contender are all circling.
Makhachev put a $20M figure on the superfight that collapsed, while pouring his own money into padel and warning the UFC's pay could cost it Usman Nurmagomedov.
A jab at Holloway, a Tonight Show booking that drew real anger, and an International Fight Week return: the volume is back. The fighter has been gone five years.
Two top-five light heavyweights, both off losses to elite competition, fight to lead a scrambled division. FightIQ has no model number for this card yet, so this runs on verified records and market context.
Two title fights and a flyweight eliminator are signed for Philadelphia on Aug. 15. The rest is still rumor, including a light heavyweight bout the reporting suggests may not even fit.
Five months after a scary scene on the scale in Las Vegas and a first-round knockout loss in Macau, the bantamweight is gone in the latest roster purge.
Makhachev warns the UFC's 'small purses' could stall his protege's signing, turning a routine free-agency story into a labor question
The No. 15 bantamweight says the division won't die when Kayla Harrison and Amanda Nunes exit. The honest version of her case is more interesting than the headline.
Three feeder-circuit cards, one weekend, all on UFC Fight Pass: Andreeas Binder's Manchester statement, an ex-Falcon's 11-second title KO, and a four-second finish that beat Masvidal's UFC record.
Five days on from Freedom 250, the fallout is louder than the fights. Kamaru Usman is crowning Gaethje, Michael Bisping is worried about Topuria, and Alex Pereira wants the result overturned.
Kyoji Horiguchi submitted Kape in 2017 on his way to winning a Grand Prix in one night. Kape turned down a wait for the belt to run it back at the APEX.
Two titles, a three-division bid, and a card where the model breaks from the market in three spots.
The lightweight title, outdoors, with GOAT stakes — and a near-5-to-1 underdog selling belief.
A heavyweight-debut interim title shot at becoming the first-ever three-division champion, in a fight the numbers call a coin flip.
Sean O'Malley is a heavy betting favorite over Aiemann Zahabi — but the numbers see a much tighter fight.
Josh Hokit is the favorite over knockout legend Derrick Lewis — and the resume backs it.
Mauricio Ruffy is a massive favorite over Michael Chandler — the numbers see a changing of the guard.