UFC FN Macau tonight — Song vs Figueiredo · 13 fights · consensus picks + live odds

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A 4-voice consensus ensemble (V14 + V15.1 + Paperclip + market) trained on 8,500+ fights. 71.59% accuracy on n=428 consensus picks, 76.21% on UNANIMOUS_3 picks (n=307), +8.09% real-market ROI — 2025-2026 holdout. LOCK tier mechanical-agreement caveat applies (see methodology). No guesswork, no gut feelings — just data.

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The numbers speak for themselves

2025-2026 holdout · real-market ROI basis (BFO closing). Not cherry-picked. Not overfit. Zero data leakage.

71.59%
Consensus Pick Accuracy
n=428 · 2025-2026 holdout · 4-voice ensemble (V14 + V15.1 + Paperclip + market)
76.21%
UNANIMOUS_3 Subset
n=307 · all 3 models agree · 2025-2026 holdout
+8.09%
Real-Market ROI
n=428 consensus picks · flat 1u · BFO closing
11-1
LOCK Picks in 2026
10 mechanical · 1 real (Malkoun, Perth) · 1 LOSS (Chimaev, UFC 328 — 80% loses 1 in 5)

Past performance does not guarantee future results. ¼-Kelly stacking ensemble: $1,000 → $29,070 (+2,807%) over 3.5 years on n=706 bets — 59% peak drawdown. All accuracy + ROI numbers are 2025-2026 holdout, real-market basis (BFO closing). TOSS-UP picks excluded.

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Most prediction sites give you gut feelings dressed up as analysis. We give you a machine that learns from every fight ever thrown.

01

Every Fight. Ever.

8,500+ UFC fights spanning 12+ years. Striking, grappling, physical attributes, Elo ratings, historical odds — all cleaned and structured.

02

Engineered Intelligence

We don't just look at records. Proprietary features capture style matchups, momentum, aging curves, and how fighters perform under pressure.

03

Multi-Model Ensemble

Four algorithms compete and collaborate. A dual architecture blends market-aware and market-blind predictions to avoid overfitting.

04

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We scan betting markets in real time. When our model disagrees with the market, we flag it. That's where the money is.

Four models. One prediction.

Each algorithm sees the fight differently. When they agree, we're confident. When they don't, we tell you.

Model A

Statistical foundation — finds the signal in the noise

Model B

Pattern recognition — learns complex matchup dynamics

Model C

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Model D

Robustness engine — guards against overfitting

This Saturday's predictions

UFC FN Macau tonight · Song Yadong vs Deiveson Figueiredo · 13 fights · consensus picks + live odds.

UFC FN Macau · Tonight
30 May 2026 · main card 8 AM ET / 1 PM BST · Macau
LIVE
Full 13-fight card with consensus picks, tier ratings, market lines, and per-fight blurbs — publishing on this page T-12h to card.
View card →

Not all picks are equal

Every prediction comes with a confidence tier. The edge lives in LOCK and HIGH — that's where you should focus.

LOCK
11-1
2026 · 91.7% · Chimaev loss UFC 328 (autopsy)
HIGH
79.4%
2026 · 27-7
MED
67%
solid · worth tracking
LOW / TOSS-UP
~55%
coin flip · proceed with caution

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