A four-model consensus — V14 + V15 + Paperclip + market odds, stacked via logistic regression — trained on 8,500+ fights. 82.67% live on flagged picks (62-13 across 21 cards in 2026); 84.9% on high-confidence holdout (n=52); 75.6% across 2026 cards (n=90). Every number n-cited. No guesswork.
FightIQ is a data-analytics tool that publishes prediction probabilities and a verifiable track record. It is not betting advice and we do not facilitate gambling. Read the model, treat the numbers as one input into your own judgement.
Original UFC writing — main-event breakdowns, model-vs-market reads, recaps, autopsies. Updated daily. Browse all 95 →
We tagged Holloway HIGH, called the KO, and the flagged tier went a perfect 4/4 including the LOCK. Every claim on this page can be verified against the frozen pre-card artifact — timestamped, gold-checked, no hindsight edits.
The daily digest: model reads, market moves, and what's news vs noise heading into fight week.
Du Plessis's first defence after the title-shot pivot, Usman's return to the weight class, and what the model is reading before the walkouts.
The frozen pre-card read on the fight the world doubted us on. Timestamped receipt.
The public read from the analysts vs the frozen model line. Graded post-card in this piece.
What's confirmed, what's rumoured, and where the model already has a strong lean on the fights we know are booked.
2025-26 holdout · real-market ROI basis (BFO closing). Every claim n-cited, strata stated. See full methodology →
Past performance does not guarantee future results. All accuracy + ROI numbers are 2025-2026 holdout, real-market basis (BFO closing). TOSS-UP picks excluded. +8.09% consensus ROI on n=428, +15.99% bankroll growth / +7.40% turnover ROI on flagged picks (n=216, 1u flat sizing).
Most prediction sites give you gut feelings dressed up as analysis. We give you a machine that learns from every fight ever thrown.
8,500+ UFC fights spanning 12+ years. Striking, grappling, physical attributes, Elo ratings, historical odds — all cleaned and structured.
We don't just look at records. Proprietary features capture style matchups, momentum, aging curves, and how fighters perform under pressure.
Four algorithms compete and collaborate. A dual architecture blends market-aware and market-blind predictions to avoid overfitting.
We scan betting markets in real time. When our model disagrees with the market, we flag it. That's where the money is.
Each algorithm sees the fight differently. When they agree, we're confident. When they don't, we tell you.
Statistical foundation — finds the signal in the noise
Pattern recognition — learns complex matchup dynamics
Speed optimised — processes every angle at scale
Robustness engine — guards against overfitting
UFC Freedom 250 tonight · Ilia Topuria vs Justin Gaethje at the White House · Pereira vs Gane co-main · 7 fights · PPV.
Every prediction comes with a confidence tier. The edge lives in LOCK and HIGH — that's where you should focus.
Full pre-fight analysis, FightIQ model predictions, and post-fight results for every UFC event in 2026.
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