FightIQ

UFC FN · Du Plessis vs Usman

Tonight
UFC Fight Night · 18 July 2026 · Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Du Plessis vs Usman

Middleweight Title · 5 Rounds · 12 Fights · APEX
12
Fights
5
Main Card
9
Prelims
0
LOCK Picks
◆ METHODOLOGY · LOCK MECHANICAL-AGREEMENT CAVEAT

Picks reflect the 4-voice consensus ensemble (V14 + V15.1 + Paperclip + market). Each fight shows pick + confidence tier. LOCK tier fires when our pick aligns with extreme market consensus (-300+ closing favorites); performance is partly real model signal, partly mechanical agreement with the market. 2026 LOCK ledger: 14-2 (n=16, 87.5%) — the flagged tier's canonical season record (source: season_record_2026.json). TOSS-UP picks excluded from accuracy claims. 71.59% consensus accuracy on n=428 / 76.21% UNANIMOUS_3 (n=307), 2025-2026 holdout, real-market basis (BFO closing).

◆ Main Card

Main Card

Main Event Middleweight · 5 rds
Dricus Du Plessis
VS
Kamaru Usman
Pick Dricus Du Plessis MED
Dricus Du Plessis -270 / Kamaru Usman +250
MEDDricus Du Plessis — medium-conviction pick at Middleweight.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Dricus Du Plessis
9-1 UFC, 10 fights

Dricus Du Plessis headlines in Oklahoma City with a 9-1 UFC record across 10 appearances. The South African is coming off the first loss of his UFC tenure, a unanimous decision against Khamzat Chimaev in August 2025. Before that, Du Plessis put together the run that defined his career: a unanimous decision over Sean Strickland in February 2025, a submission of Israel Adesanya in August 2024 and a split-decision win over Strickland in January 2024. Known for an unorthodox, high-output style that drags opponents into deep water, Du Plessis wins with pace and durability rather than polish. The Chimaev loss was his first setback in the promotion, and he returns to headline against a former welterweight champion moving up in weight. He faces Kamaru Usman in a middleweight main event in Oklahoma City.

Kamaru Usman
16-3 UFC, 19 fights

Kamaru Usman carries a 16-3 UFC record built over 19 appearances into the main event. The former welterweight champion enters on a unanimous-decision win over Joaquin Buckley in June 2025 that snapped a three-fight losing run. Before it, Usman dropped a majority decision to Khamzat Chimaev in October 2023 and lost twice to Leon Edwards, by majority decision in March 2023 and by knockout in August 2022. A wrestling-based pressure fighter, Usman built his championship reign on takedowns, top control and a punishing jab. The Buckley result marked a return to the win column after that difficult stretch at 170 pounds. He meets Dricus Du Plessis at middleweight in Oklahoma City.

Co-Main Middleweight · 3 rds
Jared Cannonier
VS
Christian Leroy Duncan
Pick Christian Leroy Duncan LOW
Jared Cannonier -110 / Christian Leroy Duncan -110 [TBD]
LOWChristian Leroy Duncan — low-conviction lean at Middleweight.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Jared Cannonier
11-9 UFC, 20 fights

Jared Cannonier carries an 11-9 UFC record into Oklahoma City, one of the longer-tenured names on the card at 20 appearances. The middleweight has lost three of his last four, most recently a unanimous decision to Michael Page in August 2025. His lone win in that stretch came by knockout over Gregory Rodrigues in February 2025. Cannonier also dropped a unanimous decision to Caio Borralho in August 2024 and was stopped by Nassourdine Imavov in June 2024. A former title challenger who has fought across three weight classes, Cannonier still carries knockout power in both hands and remains a hard night for any middleweight. He meets Christian Leroy Duncan on the main card.

Christian Leroy Duncan
7-2 UFC, 9 fights

Christian Leroy Duncan meets Jared Cannonier on a 7-2 UFC record and the best form of his Octagon run. The middleweight has won four straight, capped by a unanimous decision over Roman Dolidze in March. He stopped Marco Tulio by knockout in November 2025 and Eryk Anders by knockout in August 2025, and beat Andrey Pulyaev by unanimous decision in March 2025. Duncan blends length and finishing power, and the Dolidze result stands as his most notable win to date. Across nine UFC appearances he has alternated between decision wins and knockouts. A step up against the veteran Cannonier gives Duncan the stiffest test of his streak in Oklahoma City.

Main Card Lightweight · 3 rds
Chase Hooper
VS
Mitch Ramirez
Pick Chase Hooper LOW
Chase Hooper -110 / Mitch Ramirez -110 [TBD]
LOWChase Hooper — low-conviction lean at Lightweight.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Chase Hooper
8-5 UFC, 13 fights

Chase Hooper faces Mitch Ramirez on an 8-5 UFC record built over 13 appearances since he arrived as one of the promotion's youngest signings. The lightweight has lost his last two, both by knockout, to Lance Gibson Jr. in March and Alexander Hernandez in August 2025. Those setbacks followed the strongest stretch of his career: a unanimous decision over Jim Miller in April 2025 and a submission of Clay Guida in December 2024. A jiu-jitsu specialist who hunts scrambles and submissions, Hooper does his best work once the fight hits the mat. The back-to-back stoppage losses put a premium on his next result. He meets Ramirez, who is still chasing a first UFC win, in Oklahoma City.

Mitch Ramirez
0-2 UFC, 2 fights

Mitch Ramirez is still chasing his first UFC win when he meets Chase Hooper in Oklahoma City. The lightweight is 0-2 in the Octagon, both losses by knockout: to Mike Davis in July 2025 and Thiago Moises in March 2024. A finish against Hooper would reset a difficult start to his promotional run. Ramirez has shown a willingness to trade and press forward, and the long gap between his two appearances underlines how much a first UFC victory would mean. He draws a grappling-heavy opponent in Hooper, a matchup that asks him to keep the fight standing and land clean. A third straight loss would leave him in a precarious roster spot.

Main Card Women's Strawweight · 3 rds
Tabatha Ricci
VS
Fatima Kline
Pick Fatima Kline LOW
Tabatha Ricci -110 / Fatima Kline -110 [TBD]
LOWFatima Kline — low-conviction lean at Women's Strawweight.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Tabatha Ricci
7-4 UFC, 11 fights

Tabatha Ricci meets Fatima Kline on a 7-4 UFC record across 11 appearances. The Brazilian strawweight is coming off a unanimous-decision loss to Virna Jandiroba in April, a result that stalled the momentum from her July 2025 knockout of Amanda Ribas. Ricci's recent form has run hot and cold: the Ribas win followed a unanimous-decision loss to Yan Xiaonan in November 2024, and before that she beat Angela Hill by unanimous decision in August 2024. A judoka and grappler by background, Ricci pairs takedowns with a steady boxing base and rarely gets finished. The matchup with the surging Kline tests whether her experience can slow a younger opponent. She fights on the Oklahoma City card.

Fatima Kline
3-1 UFC, 4 fights

Fatima Kline brings a 3-1 UFC record and a three-fight winning streak into her bout with Tabatha Ricci. The strawweight beat Angela Hill by unanimous decision in November 2025, stopped Melissa Martinez by knockout in July 2025 and knocked out Viktoriia Dudakova in January 2025. Her only UFC loss came in her promotional debut, a unanimous decision against Jasmine Jasudavicius in July 2024. Kline has answered that setback with steady progress, mixing pressure striking and finishing instinct across four appearances. The Ricci fight raises her level of competition against a durable, experienced grappler. A fourth straight win would push Kline toward the edge of the strawweight rankings in Oklahoma City.

Main Card Featherweight · 3 rds
Tommy Mcmillen
VS
Alberto Montes
Pick Alberto Montes TOSS-UP
Tommy Mcmillen -110 / Alberto Montes -110 [TBD]
TOSS-UPModel effectively a coin flip; the side shown is a marginal lean, not a call.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Tommy Mcmillen
UFC debut, 0-0

Tommy McMillen makes his UFC debut against Alberto Montes in Oklahoma City. The featherweight arrives without a prior Octagon appearance, so his promotional record starts at 0-0. Debuts carry their own pressure, and McMillen draws an opponent who already owns a UFC win. Little of his professional resume has played out under the promotion's lights, which makes this a genuine unknown for the wider audience. A strong showing would hand him an immediate foothold on the roster. McMillen will look to impose his pace early and prove the call-up was warranted. He fights on the preliminary card, one of several newcomers taking a first walk to the Octagon on this event, and the experience gap runs against him on the night.

Alberto Montes
1-0 UFC, 1 fight

Alberto Montes puts a 1-0 UFC record on the line against debuting Tommy McMillen. The featherweight opened his promotional account with a submission win over Ricky Turcios in March, a finish that flagged him as a prospect worth tracking. One fight into his UFC run, Montes now draws a newcomer in McMillen, a matchup that lets him build on early momentum. His single Octagon appearance showed a finisher's instinct on the mat. A second win would move him to 2-0 and start to establish him in a deep featherweight division. Montes fights on the preliminary card in Oklahoma City, holding the experience edge this early in both men's promotional careers.

Main Card Featherweight · 3 rds
Austin Bashi
VS
Jose Miguel Delgado
Pick Austin Bashi TOSS-UP
Austin Bashi -110 / Jose Miguel Delgado -110 [TBD]
TOSS-UPModel effectively a coin flip; the side shown is a marginal lean, not a call.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Austin Bashi
1-1 UFC, 2 fights

Austin Bashi meets debuting Jose Miguel Delgado on a 1-1 UFC record. The featherweight bounced back from a rough start with a submission win over John Yannis in August 2025, his first Octagon victory. That result followed a unanimous-decision loss to Christian Rodriguez in January 2025 on his promotional debut. Bashi arrives at an even 1-1 with a chance to build his first UFC winning streak against a newcomer. A well-rounded prospect who can wrestle and finish on the ground, he showed poise in rebounding from the opening loss. Delgado is an unknown quantity, which puts the onus on Bashi to control the terms. He fights on the Oklahoma City preliminary card looking to move above .500 in the promotion.

Jose Miguel Delgado
UFC debut, 0-0

Jose Miguel Delgado makes his UFC debut against Austin Bashi in Oklahoma City. The featherweight steps into the Octagon for the first time, his promotional record standing at 0-0. He faces an opponent who already owns a UFC finish, which raises the degree of difficulty on debut night. Delgado's professional work to this point has come outside the promotion, leaving him largely untested at this level in the eyes of the wider audience. A win would immediately validate the signing and hand him a strong start. Delgado will aim to settle nerves early and steer the fight into territory that favors him. He is one of several first-timers on the card walking to the Octagon on this event.

◆ Prelims

Prelims

Prelim Light Heavyweight · 3 rds
Levi Rodrigues Jr
VS
Felipe Franco
Pick Felipe Franco TOSS-UP
Levi Rodrigues Jr -110 / Felipe Franco -110 [TBD]
TOSS-UPModel effectively a coin flip; the side shown is a marginal lean, not a call.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Levi Rodrigues Jr
UFC debut, 0-0

Levi Rodrigues Jr. makes his UFC debut against Felipe Franco in Oklahoma City. The light heavyweight steps into the Octagon for the first time with a 0-0 promotional record. He meets an opponent who has one UFC appearance behind him, a small experience gap in an otherwise even matchup between recent additions to the roster. Rodrigues arrives without an Octagon body of work for fans to study, which leaves his debut an open question. A first UFC win would give him an immediate platform in a thin light heavyweight division. Rodrigues will aim to make an early impression and prove he belongs at this level. He is one of several fighters taking a first walk to the Octagon on this card.

Felipe Franco
0-1 UFC, 1 fight

Felipe Franco looks for his first UFC win when he meets debuting Levi Rodrigues Jr. in Oklahoma City. The light heavyweight is 0-1 in the promotion after a unanimous-decision loss to Mario Pinto in March. That debut went the distance, showing he can absorb punishment and stay in a fight even in defeat. Franco now faces a newcomer, a matchup that gives him a clear chance to get into the win column. A victory would steady his footing on the roster after the opening setback. Franco will want to be busier and more decisive than he was in his first appearance. He fights on the Oklahoma City preliminary card, with both men still searching for a first UFC victory.

Prelim Flyweight · 3 rds
Alden Coria
VS
Stewart Nicoll
Pick Alden Coria LOW
Alden Coria -110 / Stewart Nicoll -110 [TBD]
LOWAlden Coria — low-conviction lean at Flyweight.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Alden Coria
2-0 UFC, 2 fights

Alden Coria meets Stewart Nicoll on a 2-0 UFC record. The flyweight has won both of his Octagon appearances, most recently a unanimous decision over Luis Gurule in February, after a knockout of Alessandro Costa in September 2025. That mix of a finish and a decision points to a well-rounded game early in his promotional run. Coria draws an opponent still searching for a first UFC win, a matchup that favors his momentum. A third straight victory would keep his unbeaten Octagon record intact and mark him as a flyweight prospect to track. He carries clear form and confidence into the bout with Nicoll. Coria fights on the Oklahoma City preliminary card, one win from a 3-0 start in the promotion.

Stewart Nicoll
0-3 UFC, 3 fights

Stewart Nicoll is still looking for his first UFC win when he meets Alden Coria in Oklahoma City. The flyweight is 0-3 in the promotion, most recently stopped by Alessandro Costa in April. He also dropped a unanimous decision to Lucas Rocha in October 2025 and was submitted by Jesus Aguilar in August 2024. The three-fight skid puts real pressure on his next result. Nicoll now faces an unbeaten opponent in Coria, a steep assignment for a fighter chasing a breakthrough. A win would change the tenor of his UFC run; another loss would leave him in a difficult roster spot. Nicoll fights on the Oklahoma City preliminary card, needing a performance to arrest the slide.

Prelim · 3 rds
Jean Paul Lebosnoyani
VS
Seokhyeon Ko
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Jean Paul Lebosnoyani
UFC debut, 0-0

Jean Paul Lebosnoyani makes his UFC debut against Seokhyeon Ko in Oklahoma City. The welterweight enters at 0-0 in the promotion, taking his first walk to the Octagon on this card. He draws a tough assignment: Ko carries an unbeaten UFC record into the bout, so Lebosnoyani debuts against a live opponent rather than an easy introduction. His resume to date has played out away from the promotion's spotlight, which makes his ceiling hard to gauge from the outside. A win over an unbeaten fighter would be a statement start. Lebosnoyani will look to weather the early rounds and force the fight into a rhythm of his own. He is among the newcomers debuting on the preliminary card.

Seokhyeon Ko
2-0 UFC, 2 fights

Seokhyeon Ko meets debuting Jean Paul Lebosnoyani on a 2-0 UFC record. The South Korean welterweight has won both of his Octagon appearances by unanimous decision, over Phil Rowe in November 2025 and Oban Elliott in June 2025. Those results have him building quiet momentum in a crowded division. Ko favors a measured, decision-oriented approach, grinding out rounds with volume and positioning rather than chasing early finishes. A third straight win, this time over a debutant, would keep his unbeaten UFC run intact and strengthen his case for tougher assignments. He carries the experience edge into the matchup with Lebosnoyani. Ko fights on the Oklahoma City preliminary card, one win from a 3-0 start to his promotional career.

Prelim · 3 rds
Rj Harris
VS
Alvin Hines
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Rj Harris
UFC debut, 0-0

RJ Harris makes his UFC debut against Alvin Hines in Oklahoma City. The heavyweight enters at 0-0 in the promotion, taking his first walk to the Octagon on this card. He faces an opponent with one UFC appearance already behind him, a slight experience edge in an otherwise open heavyweight matchup. Harris arrives without an Octagon record to study, which leaves his debut hard to read from the outside. In a division where a single punch can end things, a first UFC win would put him straight on the map. Harris will look to use his power early and make a fast impression. He is one of several fighters debuting on the card, stepping in against a heavyweight still seeking his own first UFC victory.

Alvin Hines
0-1 UFC, 1 fight

Alvin Hines looks for his first UFC win when he meets debuting RJ Harris in Oklahoma City. The heavyweight is 0-1 in the promotion after a unanimous-decision loss to Jhonata Diniz in June 2025. That the fight reached the scorecards stands out in a division where finishes are common, and it gives Hines rounds of Octagon experience to lean on. He now faces a newcomer, a matchup that hands him a clear opportunity to break into the win column. A victory would steady his standing after the opening loss. Hines will want to press the action and turn his experience edge into a result. He fights on the Oklahoma City preliminary card, with both heavyweights chasing a first UFC win.

Prelim · 3 rds
Anna Melisano
VS
Dione Barbosa
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Anna Melisano
UFC debut, 0-0

Anna Melisano makes her UFC debut against Dione Barbosa in Oklahoma City. The flyweight enters at 0-0 in the promotion, taking her first walk to the Octagon on this card. She draws a tough introduction: Barbosa already has five UFC appearances and multiple Octagon wins, so Melisano debuts against an established opponent rather than a fellow newcomer. Her resume to this point has played out away from the promotion, which makes her ceiling hard to judge from the outside. A debut win over a seasoned name would be a statement start to her UFC run. Melisano will aim to settle early and impose her own game on a more experienced foe. She is one of several fighters debuting on the card.

Dione Barbosa
3-2 UFC, 5 fights

Dione Barbosa meets debuting Anna Melisano on a 3-2 UFC record across five appearances. The flyweight is coming off a majority-decision win over Melissa Gatto in April, a result that steadied her Octagon run. Her recent form has swung between wins and losses: the Gatto victory followed a unanimous-decision loss to Karine Silva in August 2025, and before that she submitted Diana Belbita in April 2025. A unanimous-decision loss to Miranda Maverick in July 2024 sits earlier on her sheet. A grappler who hunts submissions, Barbosa brings the clear experience edge into a matchup with a UFC newcomer. A win over a debutant would give her consecutive victories for the first time in this stretch. She fights on the Oklahoma City card.

Prelim · 3 rds
Damien Anderson
VS
Ezra Elliot
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Damien Anderson
UFC debut, 0-0

Damien Anderson makes his UFC debut against fellow newcomer Ezra Elliot in Oklahoma City. The featherweight enters at 0-0 in the promotion, matched with another fighter taking a first walk to the Octagon. With no Octagon history on either side, the bout is a genuine unknown, decided by which newcomer adjusts faster to the setting. A debut win over a fellow first-timer would give Anderson an immediate foothold on the roster. He arrives eager to show that his work outside the promotion carries over at this level. Anderson will look to dictate range and tempo in a fight without a clear favorite. He is one of several debutants on the card, and one half of an all-newcomer featherweight pairing.

Ezra Elliot
UFC debut, 0-0

Ezra Elliot makes his UFC debut against fellow newcomer Damien Anderson in Oklahoma City. Both featherweights enter at 0-0 in the promotion, so the bout pairs two first-timers with everything to prove. Neither man carries an Octagon track record, which makes this one of the harder fights on the card to handicap from the outside. For Elliot, a debut win over another newcomer would be a clean way to open his promotional account. He arrives looking to carry his pre-UFC form onto the sport's biggest stage. Elliot will aim to set the pace early and stamp his identity on a fight without an established favorite. He is one of several debutants on this event, and one half of an all-newcomer matchup.