FightIQ

UFC FN · Medic vs Rodriguez

Tonight
UFC Fight Night · 1 August 2026 · Belgrade Arena, Belgrade

Medic vs Rodriguez

Welterweight Main Event · 5 Rounds · 14 Fights · Belgrade
14
Fights
5
Main Card
9
Prelims
1
LOCK Picks
◆ METHODOLOGY · LOCK MECHANICAL-AGREEMENT CAVEAT

Picks reflect the 4-voice consensus ensemble (V14 + V15.1 + Paperclip + market). Each fight shows pick + confidence tier. LOCK tier fires when our pick aligns with extreme market consensus (-300+ closing favorites); performance is partly real model signal, partly mechanical agreement with the market. 2026 LOCK ledger: 14-2 (n=16, 87.5%) — the flagged tier's canonical season record (source: season_record_2026.json). TOSS-UP picks excluded from accuracy claims. 71.59% consensus accuracy on n=428 / 76.21% UNANIMOUS_3 (n=307), 2025-2026 holdout, real-market basis (BFO closing).

◆ Main Card

Main Card

Main Event Welterweight · 5 rds
Daniel Rodriguez
VS
Uros Medic
Pick Uros Medic MED
Daniel Rodriguez +317 / Uros Medic -335
MEDUros Medic — medium-conviction pick at Welterweight.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Daniel Rodriguez
10-4

Daniel Rodriguez enters UFC Belgrade with a 10-4 UFC record over 14 appearances, dating to his promotional debut on Feb. 15, 2020.

He has won his last three. He took a split decision over Alex Morono in October 2024, stopped Santiago Ponzinibbio in the third round in May 2025, and beat Kevin Holland by unanimous decision in July 2025.

That run followed the leanest stretch of his UFC tenure. Ian Machado Garry stopped him in the first round in May 2023, and Kelvin Gastelum beat him by unanimous decision in June 2024 in a middleweight bout.

Four of his last five fights were contested at welterweight, with the Gastelum bout the lone exception.

Uros Medic
7-3

Uros Medic is 7-3 in the UFC across 10 fights since his debut on March 6, 2021.

None of his last five bouts reached the second round. All five ended by first-round KO/TKO, four of them in his favor.

He stopped Tim Means in April 2024, then was stopped by Punahele Soriano in January 2025. He has won three straight since, finishing Gilbert Urbina in August 2025, Muslim Salikhov in November 2025 and Geoff Neal in February 2026.

Each of those five fights was a welterweight bout.

Co-Main Light Heavyweight · 3 rds
Jan Blachowicz
VS
Navajo Stirling
Pick Navajo Stirling HIGH
Jan Blachowicz +279 / Navajo Stirling -333
HIGHNavajo Stirling — HIGH-conviction pick at Light Heavyweight.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Jan Blachowicz
12-8

Jan Blachowicz brings a 12-8 UFC record and 22 previous UFC fights to Belgrade. He debuted for the promotion on Oct. 4, 2014.

His most recent win in our data came in May 2022, when he stopped Aleksandar Rakic in the third round at light heavyweight.

Two of his four fights since ended without a winner in our dataset. A five-round light heavyweight title bout with Magomed Ankalaev in December 2022 went to a split decision logged as a draw or no-contest, and a majority decision against Bogdan Guskov in December 2025 is recorded the same way.

In between, he lost a split decision to Alex Pereira in July 2023 and a unanimous decision to Carlos Ulberg in March 2025. All five of his most recent bouts were at light heavyweight.

Navajo Stirling
5-0

Navajo Stirling is 5-0 in the UFC. He has not lost in the promotion since his debut on Dec. 14, 2024, and every one of his five fights has been a light heavyweight bout.

He won the first three by unanimous decision, beating Tuco Tokkos in December 2024, Ivan Erslan in May 2025 and Rodolfo Bellato in September 2025.

His last two ended early. He stopped Bruno Lopes in the second round in March 2026, then stopped Ion Cutelaba in the second round in June 2026.

Stirling has fought five times in roughly 18 months, the most active stretch of any fighter in this group.

Main Card Heavyweight · 3 rds
Aleksandar Rakic
VS
Marcin Tybura
Pick Aleksandar Rakic MED
Aleksandar Rakic -335 / Marcin Tybura +317
MEDAleksandar Rakic — medium-conviction pick at Heavyweight.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Aleksandar Rakic
6-5

Aleksandar Rakic is 6-5 in the UFC over 11 fights, beginning with his debut on Sept. 2, 2017.

His last win in our data came in March 2021, a unanimous decision over Thiago Santos.

He has lost four in a row since. Jan Blachowicz stopped him in the third round in May 2022, Jiri Prochazka stopped him in the second round in April 2024, Magomed Ankalaev beat him by unanimous decision in October 2024, and Azamat Murzakanov stopped him in the first round in October 2025.

Three of those four defeats came by KO/TKO. All five of his most recent bouts were at light heavyweight.

Marcin Tybura
14-10

Marcin Tybura has the longest UFC tenure on this list, with a 14-10 record over 24 fights since his debut on April 10, 2016.

He has lost two straight. Ante Delija stopped him in the first round in September 2025, and Tyrell Fortune beat him by unanimous decision in March 2026.

Before that he won two in a row, taking a second-round doctor's stoppage over Jhonata Diniz in November 2024 and a unanimous decision over Mick Parkin in March 2025. Serghei Spivac had submitted him in the first round in August 2024.

All five of his most recent bouts were at heavyweight.

Main Card Middleweight · 3 rds
Gilbert Urbina
VS
Vlasto Cepo
Pick Vlasto Cepo MED
Gilbert Urbina +300 / Vlasto Cepo -317
MEDVlasto Cepo — medium-conviction pick at Middleweight.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Gilbert Urbina
1-3

Gilbert Urbina enters UFC Belgrade at 1-3 in the promotion, with four fights spread across five years.

He debuted Aug. 28, 2021, losing by submission in the second round to Bryan Battle in a middleweight bout. Almost two years passed before his next appearance, a second-round TKO of Orion Cosce on May 20, 2023, at welterweight. That win remains his only one in the UFC.

The two fights since have both ended early against him. Charles Radtke stopped him in the first round on Feb. 3, 2024, and Uros Medic did the same on Aug. 9, 2025.

All four of Urbina's UFC bouts have ended by knockout or submission, and none has gone past the second round. He has never heard a judge's scorecard read in the promotion.

Vlasto Cepo
0-0

Vlasto Cepo has no prior UFC fight on record in our dataset. Saturday in Belgrade would be his first appearance in our promotional records, so there is no UFC form to review.

Main Card Lightweight · 3 rds
Milos Janicic
VS
Noah Gugnon
Pick Noah Gugnon TOSS-UP
Milos Janicic +101 / Noah Gugnon -115
TOSS-UPModel effectively a coin flip; the side shown is a marginal lean, not a call.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Milos Janicic
0-0

Milos Janicic enters the Belgrade card with no prior UFC fight on record in our dataset. We hold no promotional results for him, and nothing about his UFC form can be reported until he has fought.

Noah Gugnon
0-0

Noah Gugnon has no prior UFC fight on record in our dataset. His UFC record stands at 0-0 going into Saturday, and we have no promotional results to draw on.

Main Card Middleweight · 3 rds
Dusko Todorovic
VS
Robert Valentin
Pick Robert Valentin TOSS-UP
Dusko Todorovic +150 / Robert Valentin -156
TOSS-UPModel effectively a coin flip; the side shown is a marginal lean, not a call.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Dusko Todorovic
4-6

Dusko Todorovic carries a 4-6 UFC record and 10 promotional fights into the Belgrade card. He debuted Oct. 3, 2020.

His last five bouts have all come at middleweight and have produced two wins and three losses. He stopped Jordan Wright in the second round on Oct. 15, 2022, then lost three in a row: a first-round TKO against Christian Leroy Duncan on March 18, 2023; another first-round TKO against Mansur Abdul-Malik on Nov. 9, 2024; and a unanimous decision to Zach Reese on May 31, 2025.

Todorovic ended that run Sept. 13, 2025, submitting Jose Daniel Medina in the first round.

Four of those five fights finished inside two rounds, in both directions. The Reese bout is the only one of the five that reached the scorecards.

Robert Valentin
1-3

Robert Valentin is 1-3 in the UFC across four fights since his Aug. 24, 2024 debut.

That first bout was the Ultimate Fighter 32 middleweight tournament title fight, in which Ryan Loder stopped him in the second round. Valentin then dropped a split decision to Torrez Finney on April 5, 2025, and was stopped in the first round by Ateba Gautier on July 19, 2025.

His first UFC win came April 18, 2026, a first-round submission of Julien Leblanc.

All four of Valentin's UFC bouts have been at middleweight. Three of them ended before the judges were needed, and the Finney fight is the only time he has gone the full three rounds in the promotion.

◆ Prelims

Prelims

Prelim Lightweight · 3 rds
Ludovit Klein
VS
Tofiq Musayev
Pick Ludovit Klein MED
Ludovit Klein -223 / Tofiq Musayev +213
MEDLudovit Klein — medium-conviction pick at Lightweight.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Ludovit Klein
8-3

Ludovit Klein carries an 8-3 UFC record into Belgrade, built over 12 appearances since his debut on Sept. 26, 2020.

He won three straight at lightweight in 2024. Klein stopped AJ Cunningham by TKO in the first round on March 2, then took unanimous decisions from Thiago Moises on June 8 and Roosevelt Roberts on Sept. 28.

Mateusz Gamrot ended that run on May 31, 2025, winning a unanimous decision over three rounds.

Klein returned on Oct. 25, 2025, and beat Mateusz Rebecki by majority decision. Four of his last five fights went to the judges, and the only finish among them was his own first-round stoppage of Cunningham.

Tofiq Musayev
1-1

Tofiq Musayev is 1-1 in the UFC. He debuted on June 21, 2025, against Myktybek Orolbai in a catchweight bout and lost by submission in the first round.

More than nine months passed before his next fight. On March 28, 2026, Musayev met Ignacio Bahamondes at lightweight and won a unanimous decision over three rounds.

That is his only UFC win on record and his only UFC fight to reach the scorecards. His debut is the only time he has been finished in the promotion.

Belgrade is his third UFC appearance and his second at lightweight.

Prelim Unknown · 3 rds
Borislav Nikolic
VS
Mark Vologdin
Pick Borislav Nikolic LOW
Borislav Nikolic -191 / Mark Vologdin +160
LOWBorislav Nikolic — low-conviction lean at Unknown.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Borislav Nikolic
0-0

Borislav Nikolic has no prior UFC fight on record in our dataset. There is no debut date, no result and no Octagon form for him ahead of this card. Anything beyond that would be guesswork.

Mark Vologdin
0-0

Mark Vologdin has one UFC appearance on record and no win or loss next to his name.

He debuted on April 18, 2026, against John Castaneda in a catchweight bout. The fight went the full three rounds and is logged in our dataset as a majority decision draw, which is why his UFC record still reads 0-0.

Belgrade is his second UFC booking. One fight, no result in either direction and no finish leaves almost nothing to read into. What the record does show is that he went 15 minutes with Castaneda in his first Octagon appearance.

Prelim Welterweight · 3 rds
Michael Oliveira
VS
Oban Elliott
Pick Michael Oliveira MED
Michael Oliveira -335 / Oban Elliott +317
MEDMichael Oliveira — medium-conviction pick at Welterweight.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Michael Oliveira
0-0

Michael Oliveira has no prior UFC fight on record in our dataset. No debut date, no result history and no Octagon form exist for him going into this card. As far as our data goes, Belgrade is his first appearance in the promotion.

Oban Elliott
3-2

Oban Elliott is 3-2 in the UFC across five fights, all at welterweight, since his debut on Feb. 17, 2024.

He won the first three. Val Woodburn and Preston Parsons each lost unanimous decisions to him, on Feb. 17 and July 27, 2024, and Elliott stopped Bassil Hafez by TKO in the third round on Nov. 16, 2024.

The run ended on June 21, 2025, when Seokhyeon Ko took a unanimous decision. Jonathan Micallef then submitted Elliott in the second round on Jan. 31, 2026, the first submission loss on his UFC record.

Belgrade is his sixth UFC appearance and his first since the Micallef fight in January.

Prelim Featherweight · 3 rds
Bogdan Grad
VS
Dennis Buzukia
Pick Bogdan Grad LOW
Bogdan Grad -186 / Dennis Buzukia +178
LOWBogdan Grad — low-conviction lean at Featherweight.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Bogdan Grad
1-2

Bogdan Grad opened his UFC run Feb. 1, 2025, stopping Lucas Alexander by TKO in the second round of a featherweight bout.

He has not won since. Muhammad Naimov beat him by unanimous decision June 21, 2025, in a three-round featherweight fight. Luke Riley then stopped him by TKO in the second round Nov. 22, 2025.

That leaves Grad 1-2 in the UFC across three appearances, all of them at featherweight. Two of the three ended inside the distance, one in his favor and one against. The Naimov fight is the only one of the three to reach the scorecards.

Dennis Buzukia
0-0

Dennis Buzukia has no prior UFC fight on record in our dataset. He enters Saturday's card in Belgrade with no listed octagon appearance, no UFC record and no opponent history for us to draw on. Anything beyond that would be guesswork, so we are leaving it out.

Prelim Lightweight · 3 rds
Kyle Prepolec
VS
Mateusz Rebecki
Pick Mateusz Rebecki LOCK
Kyle Prepolec +575 / Mateusz Rebecki -567
LOCKMateusz Rebecki — LOCK pick at Lightweight.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Kyle Prepolec
0-4

Kyle Prepolec is 0-4 in the UFC. He debuted May 4, 2019, dropping a unanimous decision to Nordine Taleb in a welterweight bout, then lost a unanimous decision to Austin Hubbard on Sept. 14, 2019, in his first UFC fight at lightweight.

Nearly six years passed before his next octagon appearance. Benoit Saint Denis submitted him in the second round May 10, 2025. Drew Dober stopped him by TKO in the third round Oct. 18, 2025.

His first two UFC fights went the full three rounds and reached the judges. Both of his 2025 fights ended inside the distance. Prepolec has fought once at welterweight and three times at lightweight.

Mateusz Rebecki
4-4

Mateusz Rebecki carries a 4-4 UFC record into Saturday's card in Belgrade, built over eight appearances since his debut Jan. 14, 2023.

His last five fights are on file. Diego Ferreira stopped him by TKO in the third round May 11, 2024. He answered with a split-decision win over Myktybek Orolbai in a catchweight bout Oct. 26, 2024.

Three losses have followed. Chris Duncan took a unanimous decision Aug. 2, 2025, and Ludovit Klein a majority decision Oct. 25, 2025, both at lightweight. Grant Dawson submitted him in the third round May 9, 2026, in his most recent outing.

Two of those four defeats came inside the distance and two went to the scorecards. The Orolbai win is his only victory in the stretch our data covers.

Prelim Women's Bantamweight · 3 rds
Hailey Cowan
VS
Nina Milosevic
Pick Nina Milosevic MED
Hailey Cowan +390 / Nina Milosevic -400
MEDNina Milosevic — medium-conviction pick at Women's Bantamweight.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Hailey Cowan
0-3

Hailey Cowan is 0-3 in the UFC, with all three fights contested at women's bantamweight.

She debuted April 29, 2023, losing a unanimous decision to Jamey-Lyn Horth over three rounds. Nearly two years passed before her next appearance, and Nora Cornolle submitted her in the second round April 12, 2025.

Alice Pereira stopped her by TKO in the second round April 4, 2026, in her most recent fight.

Cowan's debut is the only one of the three bouts to reach the judges. The two that followed both ended in the second round, one by submission and one by TKO.

Nina Milosevic
0-0

Nina Milosevic has no prior UFC fight on record in our dataset. She steps onto Saturday's Belgrade card with no listed octagon appearance and no UFC record for us to report. We have no verified fight history to add here.

Prelim Heavyweight · 3 rds
Alexander Poppeck
VS
Jovan Leka
Pick Jovan Leka HIGH
Alexander Poppeck +220 / Jovan Leka -225
HIGHJovan Leka — HIGH-conviction pick at Heavyweight.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Alexander Poppeck
0-0

Alexander Poppeck steps onto the UFC Belgrade card Saturday with no prior UFC fight on record in our dataset.

That leaves no promotional record, opponent history or finishing data to work from. His UFC file starts here.

Jovan Leka
0-0

Jovan Leka has no prior UFC fight on record in our dataset heading into Saturday's card in Belgrade.

With no promotional appearances logged, there is no UFC record, opponent list or method history to report on him yet.

Prelim Women's Strawweight · 3 rds
Marina Spasic
VS
Stephanie Luciano
Pick Stephanie Luciano MED
Marina Spasic +279 / Stephanie Luciano -315
MEDStephanie Luciano — medium-conviction pick at Women's Strawweight.
FightIQ Newsroom · Fighter Bios
Marina Spasic
0-0

Marina Spasic enters the UFC Belgrade card Saturday with no prior UFC fight on record in our dataset.

Our files carry no promotional record, opponents or results for her. Saturday is the first entry.

Stephanie Luciano
2-1

Stephanie Luciano carries a 2-1 UFC record into Saturday's card in Belgrade, built over three appearances at women's strawweight.

She debuted Aug. 10, 2024, and took a unanimous decision over Talita Alencar after three rounds.

Her only promotional loss came March 15, 2025, when Sam Hughes edged her on a split decision, again over the full three rounds.

Luciano returned Oct. 18, 2025, and submitted Ravena Oliveira in the third round. That is her only finish inside the UFC; her other win went to the scorecards.

All three of her UFC bouts have been contested at strawweight, and all three reached the third round.