UFC Perth tonight — Della Maddalena vs Prates, live Polymarket odds

Predict
every
fight.

A dual-ensemble ML model trained on 8,500+ fights. 75.6% accuracy in 2026. LOCK picks are 10-0 this year. No guesswork, no gut feelings — just data.

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The numbers speak for themselves

Live 2026 results + 7-year walk-forward backtest (2020–2026). Not cherry-picked. Not overfit. Zero data leakage.

10-0
LOCK Picks in 2026
perfect · not a single loss
84.1%
High-Confidence Accuracy
37-7 · LOCK + HIGH tier · 2026
75.6%
Overall 2026 Accuracy
90 fights predicted · live results
$1,404
2026 Profit
115 bets · flat $100 stakes
+48.8%
Method Prop ROI
KO/Sub/Dec props · 2026
+74.1%
Round Prop ROI
Over/Under rounds · 2026

Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Built different

Most prediction sites give you gut feelings dressed up as analysis. We give you a machine that learns from every fight ever thrown.

01

Every Fight. Ever.

8,500+ UFC fights spanning 12+ years. Striking, grappling, physical attributes, Elo ratings, historical odds — all cleaned and structured.

02

Engineered Intelligence

We don't just look at records. Proprietary features capture style matchups, momentum, aging curves, and how fighters perform under pressure.

03

Multi-Model Ensemble

Four algorithms compete and collaborate. A dual architecture blends market-aware and market-blind predictions to avoid overfitting.

04

Find the Edge

We scan betting markets in real time. When our model disagrees with the market, we flag it. That's where the money is.

Four models. One prediction.

Each algorithm sees the fight differently. When they agree, we're confident. When they don't, we tell you.

Model A

Statistical foundation — finds the signal in the noise

Model B

Pattern recognition — learns complex matchup dynamics

Model C

Speed optimised — processes every angle at scale

Model D

Robustness engine — guards against overfitting

This Saturday's predictions

Real model output for UFC Perth, live tonight. This is what you get before every fight night.

UFC Perth
2 May 2026 · tonight
LIVE
Jack Della Maddalena
55.0%
TOSS-UP
KO 46% · VALUE +8.5pp
Carlos Prates
45.0%
Tim Elliott
25.6%
HIGH
Dec 66% · STRONG +12.85pp
Steve Erceg
74.4%
Tai Tuivasa
54.3%
TOSS-UP
KO 61% · VALUE +19.8pp
Louie Sutherland
45.7%
Cam Rowston
69.5%
MED
Dec 60% · STRONG +7.0pp
Robert Bryczek
30.5%

Not all picks are equal

Every prediction comes with a confidence tier. The edge lives in LOCK and HIGH — that's where you should focus.

LOCK
10-0
2026 · 100% · perfect
HIGH
79.4%
2026 · 27-7
MED
67%
solid · worth tracking
LOW / TOSS-UP
~55%
coin flip · proceed with caution

Spot mispriced fights

We scan Polymarket and sportsbook lines in real time and compare them against our model probabilities. When the market is wrong, we flag it.

If our model says a fighter wins 76% of the time but the market prices them at 62%, that's a +14% edge. We surface these opportunities so you can act on them.

Edge Detection — UFC Perth tonight
Pericic vs Gaziev
Model 60.7%
Market 31.5%
+29.2%
Mar Fan vs Steele
Model 56.7%
Market 37.5%
+19.2%
Tuivasa vs Sutherland
Model 54.3%
Market 34.5%
+19.8%

Every card. Every prediction. Every result.

Full pre-fight analysis, FightIQ model predictions, and post-fight results for every UFC event in 2026.

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